Six right-handed hitters who could fill the Mets need in the outfield

BaronWith Spring Training just over six weeks away, the Mets still need to find a right-handed replacement to Michael Cuddyer,  who announced his retirement in mid-December.

Cuddyer was set to earn $12.5 million in in 2016. He did not deny that there was a negotiated buyout of the money owed to him in 2016, so presumably the Mets will have net a figure that is less than the actual amount owed to devote to a replacement.

The market for outfielders has been incredibly slow to develop this winter, with only Jason Heyward signed among the lot of top-tiered outfielders signed. Yoenis Cespedes, Justin Upton, and Alex Gordon are still free agents, with no real clarity yet defined as to where they will sign.

Mets NY BlueThe White Sox and Orioles were listed among the favorites to sign Cespedes, according to MLB.com’s Jesse Sanchez, but the Sox apparently did not want to commit to Cespedes beyond three years, Bob Nightengale of USA Today reported. The same can be said for the White Sox and Gordon.

As for Upton, there have been very few reports connecting him to any team. The Angels were engaged in discussions with Upton’s agents during the Winter Meetings, writes Jon Morosi of FOX Sports, but those talks did not progress.

But as the league and team executives go back to work in January, the market will soon have to start to define itself with the clock ticking on the off-season.

The Mets, meanwhile, appear to be unwilling to commit to longer-term to anyone – be it a starting pitcher, reliever, or position player – this winter. Only Asdrubal Cabrera has been signed to a multi-year deal, and the Mets only committed themselves through 2017 with their new shortstop. The rest of their winter acquisitions – Neil Walker, Jerry Blevins, Bartolo Colon, and Alejandro De Aza – have been procured for only one year.

Still, the Mets are seeking to build a roster with position players who are capable of starting everyday for them right out of the gate in 2016, with hopes such a deep roster will effectively support their pitching staff and give them the necessary four runs per game they believe is necessary to win on a regular basis.

71 of the 90 regular season wins the Mets recorded in 2015 came when the Mets scored at least four runs per game.

The Mets 2016 payroll is currently projected at around $109 million, which includes monies owed to players under contract, arbitration projections, and players earning the league minimum. Whatever the final figure is before Opening Day, it can be assumed an additional $4-5 million will be needed to cover player call-ups and additional payroll expenses for the season, which is normal for any team.

Here’s a look at some of the remaining right-handed bats which fits the Mets needs this winter…

Yoenis Cespedes

Yoenis Cespedes 1 sliceHe’s been the most talked about among the fanbase, but Cespedes has not really been linked to the Mets at all, short of assistant GM John Ricco saying it was unlikely the Mets would sign Cespedes due to his contractural demands.

Cespedes said in September he was seeking a six-year deal in free agency this winter. But clearly, such a proposal has not yet materialized for the 30-year-old star outfielder. Having said that, Jon Heyman of MLB Network said in late December the Mets were out on Cespedes and haven’t even had discussions with his agents recently. According to Heyman, the Mets were only interested in signing Cespedes to a 2-3 year deal, and at the time, that clearly wasn’t enough to procure his services.

But the White Sox only want to sign Cespedes to a 2-3 year deal as well, which could suggest his market is becoming defined for a shorter-term contract. Even so, there’s no evidence to suggest the Mets will re-engage Cespedes’ agents if that indeed becomes his approximate price point.

He’s a Gold Glove left fielder, but below average in center. While he’s clearly willing to play center field, he is much more valuable in the corner, and the Mets don’t have a short-term opening in either left or right field. Still, Cespedes is better than De Aza and better than De Aza in center field. If the Mets were to somehow bring Cespedes back – and there is absolutely no indication that will happen – such a move increases De Aza’s value by making him a full time bench player with speed. And, it puts Lagares – a right handed hitting outfielder – on the bench as well, making for a 3-for-1 deal.

Still, the Mets would have an expensive bench with De Aza ($5.75 million) and Lagares ($2.5 million) riding the pine most of the time, especially De Aza who wouldn’t figure to see much playing time whatsoever if the Mets brought Cespedes back.

The fans might be ok with that, but the Mets probably wouldn’t be.

It’s partly what makes the De Aza signing so strange from a timing perspective. It seems he should’ve been ranked lower in terms of their options, and more of a late January alternative if other options didn’t come through.

And if Cespedes signs elsewhere in the 2-4 year range, the move to sign De Aza will look that much less strategic.

Ryan Raburn

Ryan RaburnRayburn, 34, hasn’t been a full-time player since 2011, serving mostly in a super-utility role capable of playing in the outfield as well as first base, second base and third base. He has been up and down over the last couple of years but he’s a disciplined hitter who gets on-base and has some pop, although he doesn’t have much speed.

He’s about league-average defensively, but he hasn’t played much on the infield over the last couple of seasons, which could be an issue if he’s viewed as a potential backup to David Wright at third base.

But Wilmer Flores seems slated to be Wright’s backup, which would limit Raburn’s exposure in that role.

Raburn would certainly go a long way towards deepening the Mets bench and giving the Mets even more versatility, which has really been the goal for the Mets this winter. He would give the Mets another platoon alternative at two corner outfield spots, first base, and second base, if the Mets were able to secure his services.

Versatility is the name of the game for the Mets this winter, and Raburn posted a 1.004 OPS against left-handed pitching in 70 games against left-handed pitching in 2015. He has a career .827 OPS against southpaws.

Raburn just completed a two-year, $4.85 million contract which he signed before the 2013 season with the Indians. The club had a $3 million option on Raburn, but chose to buy him out for $100,000. He hit .301/.393/.543 with 16 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 29 RBI in 201 plate appearances over 82 games with the Indians in 2015.

Steve Pearce

Steve Pearce 1Pearce, who turns 33 in April, is coming off a down year with the Orioles thanks in part to an early season funk coupled with an oblique injury which kept him out of action from mid-July until late August. He has shown improved power in recent seasons, has reasonably good plate discipline and actually saw his contact rates bump up modestly in his down year in 2015, suggesting he could be a good buy-low candidate this winter for interested clubs.

However, Pearce is currently seeking a two-year deal, according to Rich Dubroff of Comcast SportsNet, which could limit his market and his suitors this winter.

He’s somewhat of a jack-of-all-trades, capable of playing both corner outfield spots, first, second and third base, but isn’t going to wow anyone with his defensive abilities.

For the Mets, Pearce could be a solid right-handed bat for them off the bench, and a legitimate alternative to Lucas Duda at first base. He has seen a larger percentage of power come against left-handed pitching in his career, posting an .824 OPS against southpaws in 594 plate appearances. He’s not awful against right-handers, either, although if the Mets were to sign Pearce it’s clear his role would be to primarily face left-handed pitching.

Marlon Byrd

Byrd, who resurrected his career with the Mets on a minor league deal with the Mets in 2013, just keeps on going and continues to be a very productive hitter in this league.

And he certainly fits the profile for what the Mets are seeing in a right-handed hitting outfielder.

He’s bounced around quite a bit since being traded by the Mets in August, 2013. He’s played for the Pirates, Phillies, Reds and Giants, becoming one of the most sought-after commodities at the trade deadline thanks to his production and short-term flexibility. He’s hit 72 home runs since the start of the 2013 season, the 26th-highest mark in the game during that span and second-most behind only David Ortiz among players 35-years-old and older.

He’s also mashed left-handed pitching during this remarkable renaissance. He posted an .820 OPS against southpaws in 2015, a .773 OPS in 2014, and a .959 OPS against the left side in 2013. However, he has seen far more action against right-handed pitching in that time, and has been far from a slouch against the right side at that.

Byrd also continues to be an above-average right fielder, although he struggles in left field.

The question about Byrd is whether or not he will want to be limited to this kind of role in 2016. Yes, he’s now 38-years-old and it may be hard for Byrd to command a starting role at this stage of his career. But if there is a larger role in store for him, he might be more inclined to take that rather than coming back to the Mets.

Austin Jackson

Austin JacksonJackson, 28, is represented by Scott Boras. Things have not gone well for Jackson since his breakout season in 2012 when he set a career-high in home runs (16) RBI (66) and his batting line (.300/.479/.856). He strikes out a lot, doesn’t get on-base, and while he has been largely a league-average run producer throughout his career, much of that came prior to the 2014 season.

However, Jackson did post a .770 against southpaws in 2015. That’s quite a bit higher than his career average of .729, and he’s actually been slightly more productive against right-handers throughout his career as well.

All-in-all, Jackson is probably not the best fit for the Mets, as he hardly profiles as the kind of hitter the Mets typically seek. Then again, they’ve signed low-OBP players in De Aza and Cabrera this winter, so it wouldn’t be a surprise if the Mets ultimately sign Jackson.

But there are better options currently available to the Mets than Jackson right now.

Jonny Gomes

Jonny GomesGomes, 35, was traded by the Braves to the Royals in 2015, although he didn’t have much of an impact on their run to a World Championship in October. In fact, he was excluded from the postseason roster entirely throughout the ALDS, ALCS and World Series.

But Gomes always seems to find himself on winning clubs, which suggests his fiery, energetic and sometimes controversial personality is important to the fabric of a successful team, even if his contributions might be limited at this point in his career.

Gomes wasn’t particularly productive with either the Braves or the Royals in 2015, posting just a .213/.313/.347 line with only 16 extra-base hits and 78 total bases in 262 plate appearances. But five of his seven home runs came against left-handed pitching, and he drew 23 walks in 124 plate appearances against southpaws, good for a .783 OPS in 2015. He has a career .855 OPS against the eft-side in 1618 plate appearances, far better than his performance against right-handers (.712 OPS in 2391 plate appearances).

The question is whether or not Gomes has enough left in the tank to be a solid contributor. If he does, his production and presence could be very valuable for the Mets.

7 Comments

While Cabrera is the longest signee, NYM were willing to go 4 yrs for Zobrist even though he is older than YC, Even if YC agreed to a 4 yr deal I suspect Mets management would not be interested as it has been painfully obvious that he was their last alternative at deadline time and they never wanted him longer than a rental. As for Rayburn we get (and this is true for other players) last yrs numbers to justify his acquisition but check what he did in 2014. Which player will NYM get. As for the other outfielders, they are all acceptable as a 5th OF on a 1 yr deal.

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I highly doubt the Wilpons want the payroll around $130 mill this year so Cespedes is not happening. I think Rayburn is a decent option as a back up. I like Marlon Byrd also but getting 200-250 abs probaby will not be good enough for him.

I am no fan of Jackson, Pearce and I think Gomes is no longer a big leaguer.

I have a feeling at this point Cespedes will end up with a 3 or 4 year deal at best. Lets see what happens

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Raburn & Pearce are essentially the same player against LH pitching, .260/.340/.485 slash lines (.827 & .824 career OPS respectively) while Pearce is a small amount better against RH pitching (.021 point better OPS, .714). Both can cover the same positions but it is unclear how they compare defensively, especially at the 1B & corner OF spots they would be used. Either will do on a one year deal. I’d like to see the Mets sign the better defender, obviously and from what I’ve read neither is a Lucas Duda/Daniel Murphy like outfielder. Looking at splits one thing that separates them in Pearce’s favor is he maintains close to his average slash line against pitchers with a winning % above .500 while Raburn drops off considerably (WP.500 for Pearce & Raburn – .754 & .757; .811 & .691 respectively). I do think the post overstates Raburn’s ability to get on base. Last year (.393) was an outlier for him as his career OBP vs LH pitching is .339 (.343 for Pierce). Spending big on Cespedes would be a mistake and his CF defense would hurt the team over the course of the season. $3 – 5 Million for Raburn or Pearce and put the remaining money into a reliever. I’d prefer Pearce since over his career he has handled better pitchers consistently better than Raburn.

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I realize that the Mets are not going to bite on YC, but I don’t get NC Metsfans point about saving the money for a reliever. Who is out there that is going to make a difference? Are you willing to give Clipper 8 mil plus to pitch the 8th inning. They could try to trade for Miller as some have proposed but he will cost you 9 mil per year plus some talent to say nothing of the unlikeliness of NYY making the deal. In essence, Radburn/Pearce and a high quality back of the bullpen guy is going to cost somewhere between $12 to $14 million. If you are going to spend – and that is a big if for NYM – I would spend it on a guy who has driven in 100 runs the last two year, proven he can play big time in NY and whose bat can carry a team for a month (not many players can do this)

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This is a long post and doesn’t give any of the players any kind of glowing reccomendation. Was 2015 just an aberration? Are we destined to return to mediocrity again? Let’s face it, the team is pitcher built and management is working hard to try to forecast upcoming big contracts in the next 5 years. Will they be able to keep Harvey? Probably doubtful unless he goes against Boras. Other than the 4 or 5 pitchers Conforto is next in the list. Everything else I am afraid is just mediocre at best. Ownership doesn’t get many points either.

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It’s really a shame the Mets can’t jump in and get Cespedes the way the Cubs swooped in to get Zobrist. But we already know the Mets ownership is cheap, financially challenged and need to go. We’ve already exhausted that topic. Unfortunately, there’s nothing the Mets fans can do short of not attending games, which will NEVER happen. So what are our options? None.

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absolutely correct!

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