An attempt to figure out Rafael Montero

Rafael Montero 1 slice


Michael BaronI have no idea what to make of Rafael Montero yet.

On Thursday, Montero needed 29 pitches to get two outs. He walked a batter in the sixth inning – which at the time forced home the go-ahead run for the Marlins – he allowed a triple to Ichiro Suzuki, an unearned run, and he recorded a strikeout in 2/3 of an inning.

His night could’ve looked a lot worse if not for an outstanding running catch by Curtis Granderson to end the sixth inning, saving three runs for Montero and Dillon Gee.

Unlike his outing last Saturday in Atlanta during which he threw 35 consecutive fastballs at one point, Montero actually used his entire repertoire on Thursday. But, in watching him throw his off-speed, it almost looks as though he doesn’t trust his stuff, which could help explain what happened last Saturday in Atlanta. It’s like he wasn’t throwing them with any conviction he – threw about half of his off-speed pitches for strikes which made him fall behind in the count routinely and force him back into predictable fastball counts during his brief outing.

In his time in the minors, Montero would throw all of his pitches for strikes and wasn’t afraid to use his change-up and slider at any point in the count, which is really why he was able to rise so quickly through the minor leagues. Because of that fast rise, it’s quite possible Montero’s still a little bit raw, needs to build confidence and learn how to execute at this level, which is why I suggested late last night he could suffer a demotion back to Las Vegas when the club activates Daniel Muno.

Or, as much as the team sees him as a valuable, late-inning reliever at some point, maybe Montero simply isn’t cut out for the bullpen and should go back to Las Vegas to stretch out as a starting pitcher again.

As I said, I have no idea what to make of him yet.

2 responses to “An attempt to figure out Rafael Montero”

  1. Concerning point….

    Montero’s fastball velocity was WAY down last night. Pitch F/X regularly had him at 93-96mph but last night he was hovering between 88-92mph.

    His change-up’s effective is heavily dependent on his fastball. There was just no speed differential between the two pitches. Last night his change varied between 80-87mph

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  2. […] As I wrote this morning, going down to the minors to hit the reset button and build confidence – especially in his off-speed – might be the best medicine for him right now. And, that will allow the Mets to better evaluate where Montero ultimately fits on their pitching staff, if at all. […]

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